Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 16

Severe Weather in United States

GrandUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 17 July 2026 at 02:53 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 12 recorded within 20 km of this point since 31 March 2026 — 9 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 16 at 8:43PM MDT until July 16 at 8:45PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100, at 61 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)16 / 100
Our confidence61%
Coordinates38.5404, -109.5793
Nearest CityGrand Junction (106 km)
Impact Tierminor
Date2026-07-17 — time not reported by the source
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6d4a481b25e16d863efd56fdee5728bd

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescGrand, UT; Grand, UT; San Juan, UT
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued July 16 at 8:43PM MDT until July 16 at 8:45PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO
Expires2026-07-16T20:53:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Grand Junction CO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6d4a481b25e16d863efd56fdee5728bd657bfea8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.86088469c2c6153e0f4e61191cbe26a233db5610.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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